Calculate how many trades you need to reach a profit target based on your win rate, risk-reward ratio, and risk per trade.
Trades Needed = Target Profit ÷ Expected Return per Trade
Example: Target $500, risk 1% of $10K ($100), 55% win rate, 1:2 R:R → E(trade) = $65 → ~8 trades
Base targets on your proven win rate and R:R ratio. If you win 55% of trades at 1:2 R:R risking 1% per trade, expected return per trade is ~0.65%.
It depends on your strategy. Day traders may take 40-100 trades/month, swing traders 10-20. More trades give a larger sample size but also more commission costs and psychological fatigue.
Do not change your plan mid-streak based on emotion. If your strategy has a proven edge over 100+ trades, stick with it. Only revise targets after a structured review of at least one month of data.
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Calculator results are estimates only — not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk of loss. Full risk disclosure.
Your Monthly Trading Plan
Trades needed
14/mo
Trades per day
0.6/day
Lot size
0.13 lots
SL distance
80 pips (1× ATR)
Pip target (TP)
120 pips
Margin per trade
$452.08
Loss Buffer
Max losses before goal impossible: 5 trades
After 5 consecutive losses, the remaining expected profit can no longer cover your $500 goal.
Typical Month (14 trades at 55% WR)
| Scenario | $ P&L | % of Account |
|---|---|---|
| Best month (all wins) | +$2100.00 | +21.0% |
| Expected (EV model) | +$525.00 | +5.3% |
| Worst month (all losses) | −$1400.00 | −14.0% |
Lot size uses 1× ATR stop loss (80 pips for EUR/USD). Actual results vary — this is an expected value model, not a guarantee.